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Pelajaran 5 dari 104:005 Sumber

Kenapa kripto lebih fluktuatif

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Crypto prices move far more violently than major currencies. Bitcoin fell about 82% from December 2017 to December 2018 and about 70% from November 2021 to November 2022.

  • Liquidity: a smaller, thinner market means large orders move the price more.
  • Round-the-clock trading: news hits the price at any hour, including weekends.
  • Sentiment: the BIS found retail investors chased rising prices and most probably lost money.
  • Valuation: the FCA says these assets have no reliable basis for valuation.
  • Practical answer: smaller position size, sized from your stop-loss distance.

Cek cepat

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  1. 1.According to the BIS study, when did retail investors tend to enter Bitcoin?

  2. 2.$1,000 account, 1% risk, stop-loss 10% from entry. What position size keeps the risk at $10?

  3. 3.Which is NOT one of the reasons for crypto volatility discussed in the lesson?

Sumber

Setiap fakta dalam pelajaran ini didukung oleh sumber di bawah.

  1. 1.CME Group – Can Bitcoin Halving Emulate Searing Rallies of the Past? (Mar 2024)Bitcoin drawdowns: ~82% Dec 2017–Dec 2018 and ~70% Nov 2021–Nov 2022
  2. 2.CFTC – Customer Advisory: Understand the Risks of Virtual Currency TradingVirtual currencies more volatile than traditional fiat currencies; flash crashes; cash market manipulation; unregulated platforms
  3. 3.bitcoin.org – Frequently Asked QuestionsBitcoin price still very volatile because the market is small relative to its potential
  4. 4.IOSCO – Issues, Risks and Regulatory Considerations Relating to Crypto-Asset Trading Platforms (FR02/2020)Crypto-asset trading takes place 24 hours a day; lack of arbitrage between platforms can fragment price discovery
  5. 5.BIS Bulletin No 69 – Crypto shocks and retail losses (Feb 2023)Retail chased prices; adoption lagged price by ~2 months; whales sold while small holders bought; majority likely lost money

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