第 7 课 / 共 10 课3:594 出处
黄金:真正推动它的是什么

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主讲:Nour阿拉伯语讲解,配有字幕。更多语言即将推出。
教育内容,不构成投资建议。Nour 讲解市场如何运作,从不告诉你该买什么或卖什么。
本课的完整中文翻译即将上线,你现在看到的是英文版。
The World Gold Council groups gold's drivers into economic expansion, risk and uncertainty, opportunity cost (interest rates and the dollar) and momentum/trends. No single factor explains it.
- Dollar: WGC research found a consistently negative relationship (weekly data 1971–2018), but the dollar doesn't explain everything.
- Real yields (rates minus inflation) raise the cost of holding a non-yielding asset – yet higher real rates have not always meant lower gold.
- Fear: WGC cited Middle East tensions among 2024's demand factors.
- Central banks bought over 1,000t a year in 2022–2024 and about 863t in 2025, still well above the 2010–2021 average of 473t.
- Gold is volatile – not a 'can't-lose' asset.
快速自测
三道题。选一个答案,查看原因。
1.Which is NOT one of the WGC's gold driver families?
2.A bond yields 4% and inflation is 3%. What is the real yield?
3.How much gold did central banks buy in 2025, per the WGC?
出处
本课中的每个事实都有以下出处支撑。
- 1.World Gold Council – Gold Return Attribution Model (gold drivers)Gold drivers: economic expansion, risk & uncertainty, opportunity cost (FX and interest rates), momentum & trends
- 2.World Gold Council – Investment update: gold tracks dollar, rates take a back seat (2018)Consistently negative gold–US dollar correlation (weekly returns, Jan 1971–Mar 2018); the dollar won't explain gold entirely; higher real rates have not always meant negative gold returns
- 3.World Gold Council – Global gold demand hits new high as prices soar in 2024Central bank purchases exceeded 1,000t for the third year in a row in 2024; Middle East tensions cited
- 4.World Gold Council – Gold Demand Trends Full Year 2025: Central banksCentral bank net purchases of 863t in 2025, below the 1,000t+ of the prior three years but well above the 2010–2021 average of 473t
教育内容,不构成投资建议。 风险提示:外汇、差价合约(CFD)、黄金和加密资产交易风险很高,未必适合所有人,你的亏损可能超过投入。Souq Daily 是教育平台,本站任何内容均不构成投资建议、推荐或要约,过往表现不代表未来结果。