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第 8 课 / 共 10 课4:015 出处

原油与商品货币（CAD、AUD、NOK）

已录制，即将发布

主讲：Nour阿拉伯语讲解，配有字幕。更多语言即将推出。

教育内容，不构成投资建议。Nour 讲解市场如何运作，从不告诉你该买什么或卖什么。

本课的完整中文翻译即将上线，你现在看到的是英文版。

Per the EIA, crude prices are driven by global supply and demand: economic growth, OPEC production targets, spare capacity and inventories, geopolitical events, weather and infrastructure outages.

  • Commodity currencies move with their terms of trade. The RBA says a rise in the terms of trade is generally associated with a stronger AUD (iron ore, natural gas, farm goods).
  • Canada: US imports of Canadian crude hit records in 2024; Bank of Canada research finds commodity prices help explain CAD moves.
  • Norway: crude oil and gas were 57% of goods exports in 2025.
  • The link isn't mechanical: rates, the dollar and risk sentiment can dominate.

快速自测

三道题。选一个答案，查看原因。

0/3

  1. 1.What share of Norway's goods exports were crude oil and natural gas in 2025?

  2. 2.Per the RBA, a rise in Australia's terms of trade is generally associated with…

  3. 3.Oil jumps 10%, but USD/CAD barely moves. Which explanation fits the lesson?

出处

本课中的每个事实都有以下出处支撑。

  1. 1.U.S. EIA – Oil and petroleum products explained: prices and outlookCrude prices are driven by supply and demand; OPEC targets, spare capacity and inventories, geopolitical events, weather and infrastructure disruptions
  2. 2.U.S. EIA – Today in Energy: U.S. crude oil imports from CanadaUS crude imports from Canada reached record highs in 2024; nearly all crude used by Midwest and Mountain refineries comes from Canada
  3. 3.Norwegian Petroleum (Norwegian government) – Exports of oil and gasCrude oil and natural gas were 57% of the value of Norway's goods exports in 2025
  4. 4.Reserve Bank of Australia – Drivers of the Australian Dollar Exchange RateHigher terms of trade generally associated with AUD appreciation; examples iron ore, natural gas, agricultural products; AUD tends to rise with global equities
  5. 5.Bank of Canada – Staff Analytical Note 2016-2: Predictive ability of commodity prices for the Canadian dollarEnergy and non-energy commodity prices help explain CAD-USD moves; the USD multilateral factor has stronger predictive ability

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